Caribbean Storm The northern Leeward Islands, which are situated in the northeastern Caribbean Sea, experienced heavy rain and strong gusts on Tuesday as Philippe continued its plodding, long journey over the Atlantic Ocean. Due to forecasts of flash flooding, governments in the area were forced to close schools.

Later this week, Philippe is predicted to turn north into the open Atlantic Ocean, possibly sideswiping Bermuda, before making landfall in Atlantic Canada over the weekend. As was initially feared on Monday, it is not anticipated to intensify into a hurricane.

On September 23, Phillipe set out on its voyage. Since then, according to AccuWeather, the storm has been gently making its way west and inching closer to North America. It outlasted its contact with Tropical Storm Rina over the past three days, which vanished on Sunday, according to the National Hurricane Centre.

The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season “has now officially met NOAA’s definition of an above-normal hurricane season,” Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach said on Monday on X. This is because of the continuous tropical activity. There have been 18 named storms so far, including one in January. 14 storms occur on average each season.

The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season “has now officially met NOAA’s definition of an above-normal hurricane season,” Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach said on Monday on X. This is because of the continuous tropical activity. There have been 18 named storms so far, including one in January. 14 storms occur on average each season.

Philippe the tropical storm, where is he?

The centre of Philippe was located about 85 miles north of St. Thomas, one of the Virgin Islands, as of Tuesday at 5 p.m. EDT. Philippe was travelling northwest at 12 mph with top sustained winds of 45 mph.

As Philippe started to leave the Caribbean, all tropical storm watches and warnings were revoked. Nevertheless, the hurricane centre warned that up to a foot of rain was likely in Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, and the British Virgin Islands, which could cause flash floods.

Government offices and schools were closed in the twin-island republic of Antigua and Barbuda, while schools were shuttered in the French Caribbean provinces of St. Martin and St. Barts.

Officials in Guadeloupe reported that the storm left 2,500 customers without power and some communities without running water. As crews worked to reopen highways, it also resulted in the closure of two routes and the isolation of one village.

There is a chance of strong gusts and ‘life-threatening’ waves.

According to the hurricane centre, strong winds are expected to linger through Wednesday through some of the northern Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands.

Through midweek, the hurricane centre also issued a warning for hazardous surf conditions along the Atlantic coasts of Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the northern Leeward Islands. The hurricane centre stated that these surges “are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.”

In what direction is Tropical Storm Philippe moving? Can it reach Canada the next week?

After making landfall in the Caribbean, the storm will move over 2,000 miles to the north over the next few days, where it could approach Atlantic Canada early next week with torrential rain, powerful winds, and storm surge.

According to AccuWeather senior meteorologist Adam Douthy, Philippe is most expected to move towards Atlantic Canada, maybe directly hitting Nova Scotia late Sunday night or early Monday.

A special remark regarding the NHC cone: The projected track depicts the storm center’s most likely route. The storm’s centre may move outside the cone up to 33% of the time, and it does not depict the storm’s full width or its effects.

Philippe spaghetti models for tropical storm

Observations on the spaghetti models: There are many different forecasting methods and models used in model plot illustrations, and not all of them are equal. The top four or five most effective models are used by the hurricane centre to aid with forecasting.